Want to improve your trading returns in the U.S. stock market?
Let our proven systematic trading models help you consistently outperform in the long run.
You will find out EXACTLY what goes into our trading models that earn 15% to 25% a year, without leverage. Including 2x leverage, your returns would approximately double to 25%-45%. This way you will have a consistent edge in the markets.
We provide multiple trading models because there is no "best" model. There is no one-size-fits-all model. It comes down to a matter of personal preference. We help members decide on which model they want to use.
We update each model once a day in the Bull Markets Membership Program so that you know EXACTLY how each model is trading right now.
Medium-Long Term Model
This is a contrarian trading model that profits from medium term trends in the U.S. stock market, while sidestepping bear markets and big corrections.
We show you EVERYTHING that goes into this model: its indicators, backtests, and data. The model yields an average of:
Multi-Index Trading Model With Fundamentals
This model trades multiple U.S. stock indices, profiting from performance differences in various indices. The model allows a trader to sidestep bear markets while significantly outperforming during bull markets.
We show you EVERYTHING that goes into this model: is indicators, backtests, and data. The model yields an average of:
Dual Trend Model
The Dual Trend Model is like a trend following model on steroids.
While the model is relatively simple, it is one of our best performing models (without any leverage!). This model outperforms during bull markets, bear markets, and crises.
We show you EVERYTHING that goes into these models: their indicators, backtests, and data. The model yields an average of:
Short Term Trading Model
This model seeks to ride bull market rallies and avoid bear markets and corrections. This model trades more often than many of our other models.
We only provide the BUY/SELL signals for this model. We don't provide the Short Term Trading Model's exact components. The model yields an average of:
Macro Index Model
The Macro Index Model is a medium-long term investing model. It combines fundamental analysis with technical analysis to consistently outperform in the medium-long term.
This model trades once every few months, depending on the macro economy.
We only reveal the BUY and SELL signals in this model. We don't reveal the Macro Investing Model's exact components. The model yields an average of:
And much more!
Here are all of our trading models right now. We add new models to the list as we constantly improve. We reveal everything what goes into all of our trading models, besides the Short Term Trading Model and Macro Investing Model.
Our proprietary indices calculate many things, such as the state of macro in the U.S., liquidity in the stock market, long term risk, etc. These indices help predict bear markets, bull markets, corrections, recessions, and economic expansions. Here are some examples.
Our Macro Index looks at the state of leading U.S. economic indicators right now. Since the U.S. economy and stock market move in the same direction in the long term, leading economic indicators are also long term leading stock market indicators.
Medium Term Volatility Index
Our Medium Term Volatility Index predicts when the stock market’s volatility will spike.
This coincides with short term declines in the stock market and spikes in VIX.
Long Term Risk Index
Our Long Term Risk Index predicts how close the U.S. stock market is to a major bull market top. This is different from the Medium-Long Term Model.
*Here is a non-updated image of this index.
Recession Probability Index
Our Recession Probability Index predicts the probability that a U.S. recession will begin within the next few months.
*Here is a non-updated image of this index.
... and more!
Our other member-only content & research provide in-depth quantitative fundamental and technical research for the stock market and its various sectors.
This section of the Bull Markets Membership Program focuses on:
At $347 per year, the Membership Program pays for itself. A mere 4% profit on a $10,000 trade that's recommended by the Membership Program makes up for the cost.
The Membership Program does not auto-renew. At the end of 1 year, we will ask you if you want to renew.
Please email us at firstname.lastname@example.org
"I have been trading for over a decade now and since discovering Troy, I have been constantly impressed with his data/fact driven analysis of the markets. I find his level headed approach helps me to maintain mine. Having met in person I can attest to his genuine zest for the markets, that is to say, he is one of the few people I follow in an industry full of spruikers and snake oil salesmen. Well done Troy - Keep up the good work!"
- Mark Reeve
"The BullMarkets Membership Program helped me simplify my trading system and rethink my investment philosophy by illustrating how measurable, fact-driven analysis can be used to formulate well-designed quantitative models. Understanding the internals of the Medium-Long Term Model, one of the most valuable parts of the Membership Program, provided insight into why the trading system works over the long-term from a fundamental perspective. My learnings from Troy's work has already yielded positive results through improved trading returns and deeper understanding of financial markets. Overall, BullMarkets is one of the best online resources for improving one's investment skills. Both traders and investors, whether beginner or experienced, can benefit from studying Troy's approach."
- Dwyane George, software engineer & Product Manager, USA
"Troy's membership program provides access to a wealth of information and well thought-out, tested strategies... and it's affordable! As someone quite new to the market, and having been thrust into it, I have found Troy's insights to be a tremendous help. His model is now the foundation of my taxable account. I chose his approach because his model made more sense than the popular "buy and hold" (especially as I entered the market at the tail of a long bull run). Having one simple, but tested strategy has relieved me of the stress of managing multiple trades, and the long term nature of the strategy is far better for tax reasons, than the short term trades favored by some. Knowing the strategy is back-tested, seeing the results, being able to check the frequent updates, and knowing there are safeguards have all given me peace of mind. But Troy doesn't leave it there...his calm, methodical observations of available data have kept me from panicking a number of times already."
I enjoy the subscription content and plan on re-upping. My $.02 about the blog – The membership program material is part of my routine reading in considering what financial decisions and maneuvers to make. The blog provides reasoned, data-driven analysis and unbiased conclusions that help filter out the noise of typical financial pundits and media headlines, and further provides a multitude of trading models with simple, straight-forward guidelines that, in my opinion, would benefit any investor, regardless of expertise or financial experience.
"I have spent around two years looking for a valuable service to increase the poor yields coming from treasury bonds.
I've tried many of them, often paying for such services. But I also kept note of the outcomes, and found that all of them were underperforming the market. In best cases they performed as much as a simple "buy and hold" strategy on S&P, but with more risk.
Then I have started following "Bull Markets" and have read in Troy's articles my same conclusion: most of the professional trading services underperform the market, and do not worth the money you pay.
It is much better for a trader to follow the market direction, using a leveraged ETF to expand the gains, and trying to step aside to avoid bear markets and big corrections.
This is the straregy designed by Troy: focus on the long term, ignore the noise of news and rumors, let the market do its job. No miracles, no guru's opinion, no "gut feeling", no lucky calls, just data and knowledge originating evidence-based models. This strategy has given back to me confidence and relevant gains, overperforming the market.
So I keep visiting the blog everyday, and I use its models to confirm my trades. But most important model I apply on my investments is the Medium-Long Term Model, which I consider the best trading strategy for my targets of growth in the long term.
- Carlo Seneci, managing director, Italy
"Troy provides original, unbiased, statistically based research on how the stock market actually behaves over time. His approach offers fresh and valuable input to the long-term stocks investor, especially providing confidence in times of market volatility.”
- Johan Holmgren, former banker
"Troy has in-depth knowledge of the market, and consistently offers insightful, data-driven analysis. Unlike many others he is able to focus on the drivers of the market and the economy and separate out the noise. His trading models are comprehensive, backtested, and clearly explained to members. Most importantly — he has an impressive record of making the right calls. I highly recommend the Bullmarkets Membership program for anyone wanting to better their understanding of how financial markets function, and improve their trading performance."
- Charlotte Wilson, fund manager
"True facts over rumors, backtested! After years of jumping from one perma bear advisor to another I found Troy to be most reasonable and efficient in mid long term investing. He truly investigate underlyings. Troy posts are right now almost 1st thing I read in the morning! I love their consistency and compact size. It really help me to filter out "breaking news" that have absolutely no impact on markets. Book is also highly recommended"
- Grzegorz Maczuga, software engineer, Poland
"Being on the membership programme has been a journey with Troy in his development of models to predict the markets. It started with the Long - Medium Term Model which forecasts bear markets and major corrections. The model is explained with great clarity of the fundamentals behind its development. Troy has gone onto post other models predicting the behaviour of the markets on medium and shorter time frames helping investors taper their investments and reduce risk. Troy always explains his thinking behind the models which often challenges conventional analysis. The models are demonstrating their predictive abilities. By receiving weekly and daily updates on their position gives me confidence in remaining on the right side of the market
I would highly recommend the membership programme to anyone like myself who is a novice to stock market analysis and is looking for clear, logical data based analysis by which to make their investment decisions."
- Martin Saker, Town Planner, UK
“I have studied many different financial models to get an edge on the market but never with the simplicity and accuracy of your models. Now with your models I have the confidence to get this edge.
Thanks for the great service."
"I’ve followed Troy’s posts regularly for close to a year and joined the membership program about 3 months ago (in addition to buying his book through Amazon). Having access to the member only studies and getting specifics to his models are easily worth the cost with the annual membership. Whenever I have questions about his content or posts, he always replies within a day or two. That means a lot to me. Furthermore, with the amount of effort he puts into his blog, I truly feel good about doing my part to help him continue his success. It’s easy to get lost in this headline-driven, information-overload, trading/investing world, however, I feel much better letting him continue to paint the macro picture for me based on his interpretation of economic data and trends. With all that said, for a $347/year membership, it’s really a no-brainer. I’m a happy member and will renew without hesitation."
I am a huge fan of BullMarkets.co! I use it extensively in helping to prepare stock market models. It is the best website available to get real evidence-based research so that you can make solid, informed stock market decisions.
keep up the good work!
- Bret Zimmerman
The membership has been amazing. Public markets can be really hard for retail investors but with the membership I have learned so much more on investing in the US market. Now I invest with a lot more confidence than in the past and the best part is using simple concepts rather than time consuming and confusing complex analysis. Keep the great work Troy!
- Jose Barcelo
I have been in the Bull Markets Membership Program for several months now and am very happy with the entire program. I really like the historical data correlations which puts current market fundamental and technical events in historical context. I do not think this type analysis is available from any other source. I like the heavy emphasis on data / facts, since much financial analysis is opinion and littered with our human biases. Each update is well written and in an easy to read email format with links to more information. The website is a treasure of past analysis and research. Much content for the stock market enthusiast and the subscription is a good value for me.
Thanks Troy for what you are doing and keep up the great work!
- Brian Knapik
I would fully recommend bullmarkets.co. Troy provides well back tested models with great returns. As being on a buy or sell signal may average about two years, you can either go with the signals with little work or actively trade around the market direction.
- Rich Wagner
My favorite part of my Bull Markets Membership is how it taught me the benefits of trading leveraged ETFs in an intelligent way so as to avoid major drawdowns. I have combined some of Troy's approaches with my own indicators to create some strong trading systems that will help me achieve my goals.
- Matthew Richardson
The Bullmarkets Membership program is a valuable, clear, and concise way to learn and apply quantitative techniques to financial markets. I have worked in financial services to varying degrees i.e ( banks, hedge funds, mutual funds) as well as invested my own money for a number of years, and felt the program has helped me develop a greater understanding of financial markets. Most people focus on selling an idea about why to buy a particular stock or ETF, and require a leap of faith. This program is quantifiable using past history for all investment decisions, and instills a greater degree of confidence in the investor.
- Member who wishes to be anonymous
Troy, I've been in the markets for over 20 years. I read some of your articles through the years I found on the internet. Earlier this year I focused in on your work and then joined your site. I really appreciate and pay attention to your logical approach to markets and history. I like how you easily see through much of the industry vails of untruths. Your work represents a fresh and truly objective perspective. I look forward to reading your future work.
Which model is best for me?
That depends on your trading style and time frame. We provide many trading models, and each model has different performance and risk statistics. We provide a guide to help you decide which model is best for you.
Which models do you only provide the buy/sell signals, and which models do you provide everything (indicators, backtest)?
The Short Term Trading Model and the Macro Index Model only provide buy and sell trade signals. We provide everything that goes into all of the other 18 models - their indicators, backtests, etc.
How often are the models updated?
All models are updated daily on the BullMarkets.co website. If you don't want to update a model on your own, simply follow along on our website for timely updates!
Can any of the models predict a 6-10% "small correction"?
The Medium Term Volatility Model can be used to predict some short-medium term declines in the U.S. stock market with decent accuracy. When Medium Term Volatility is low, the stock market will probably make a short-medium term decline and volatility will rise.
Is there a free trial or monthly option?
We do not offer free trials. We only offer a yearly Membership plan.
Do you trade individual stocks?
Consistently and accurately predicting individual stocks is very hard. Individual stocks don't always move in the same direction as the overall U.S. stock market (i.e. S&P 500). Hence, it's much easier to trade and predict the direction of the broad U.S. stock market (S&P 500) than it is to trade and predict the direction of individual stocks.